Pascal's Wager for Philippine Elections

What if you had to choose between a politician who's been around and an unknown candidate?

If you vote the traditional politician he will run the country as it has always been run... into the ground. If he wanted to do anything different he would have done so already. Besides, what are the chances the old politico will have a change of heart? Right. Moving on now...

If you vote an outsider two things can happen:

• He will run things as it has always been run... into the ground.
• He will have actually change things because he doesn't know how to run things the old way or is wise enough to know better.

So the likelihood of going to hell are pretty high, but with a non-traditional candidate you get a slim chance for change.